Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/21 Game 2
Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +30.5 | -9.7 | -10.2 | -10.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 1,100 | 49% | 17% | 18% | 17% | -1.8 | -2.0 | -0.3 | +4.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 15% | 18% | 20% | -1.1 | -3.6 | -4.9 | +9.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 5,200 | 46% | 14% | 14% | 26% | -1.2 | -4.3 | -9.3 | +14.8 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 44% | 10% | 8% | 37% | +7.6 | -6.0 | +1.5 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 53% | 8% | 9% | 31% | -5.0 | -4.5 | +1.0 | +8.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 45% | 6% | 9% | 40% | -12.8 | -14.1 | -5.4 | +32.4 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Makoto Sawazaki | 16% | 0% | 3% | 81% | +4.0 | -2.1 | +11.1 | -13.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 0% | 7% | 65% | -1.6 | -2.1 | +5.6 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 28% | 0% | 10% | 62% | +12.0 | -4.5 | -6.5 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 0% | 1% | 58% | -19.6 | -4.1 | -4.4 | +28.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -0.8 | +1.7 | -0.9 | -0.1 |