Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/21 Game 2
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +34.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 26% | 25% | +30.5 | -10.4 | -10.6 | -9.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 1,100 | 48% | 18% | 17% | 17% | +0.1 | -2.8 | -0.7 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 48% | 16% | 17% | 20% | -2.5 | -4.3 | -3.5 | +10.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 5,200 | 46% | 13% | 16% | 25% | -1.8 | -5.2 | -8.7 | +15.7 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 43% | 9% | 10% | 37% | +7.9 | -4.3 | +0.4 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 53% | 8% | 9% | 31% | -4.2 | -3.7 | +0.2 | +7.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 6% | 8% | 39% | -15.0 | -14.3 | -5.5 | +34.7 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Sawazaki Makoto | 13% | 0% | 3% | 83% | +4.9 | -2.6 | +11.8 | -14.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 1% | 7% | 66% | -0.2 | -2.6 | +5.4 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 29% | 0% | 10% | 61% | +12.2 | -4.5 | -6.0 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 0% | 1% | 55% | -20.7 | -4.0 | -4.9 | +29.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -0.8 | +1.8 | -0.7 | -0.3 |