Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/24 Game 1
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 6,000, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +20.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -4.4 | -3.4 | -0.8 | +8.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 22% | 25% | 31% | -6.5 | +20.5 | -8.5 | -5.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 38% | 18% | 26% | -4.8 | +19.5 | -4.9 | -9.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 55% | 15% | 17% | -13.4 | +11.3 | -1.1 | +3.2 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Draw | 7% | 64% | 11% | 18% | -1.7 | +4.5 | -0.7 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 68% | 11% | 15% | -4.7 | -12.1 | +23.9 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 5% | 58% | 24% | 14% | -2.7 | -1.9 | +6.4 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 54% | 29% | 13% | -7.1 | -3.6 | -15.5 | +26.2 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 3% | 51% | 17% | 29% | +15.1 | +4.5 | +5.2 | -24.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 7% | 58% | 23% | 12% | +3.9 | +4.1 | -9.7 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 65% | 14% | 13% | +6.4 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 11% | 63% | 15% | 12% | +6.4 | -0.5 | -2.5 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 13% | 62% | 14% | 11% | -6.8 | +14.5 | -7.0 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 4% | 82% | 7% | 7% | +3.9 | -1.3 | -4.2 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun | 4% | 83% | 7% | 7% | -2.6 | +3.6 | -21.4 | +20.4 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 1% | 90% | 0% | 9% | -2.0 | +7.5 | -5.8 | +0.2 |