Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/24 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,500 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +5.2 | -0.9 | +1.0 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 30% | 25% | 25% | 21% | -1.1 | -2.4 | -20.0 | +23.5 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 22% | 14% | 38% | +0.2 | +2.2 | -10.3 | +7.9 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 22% | 10% | 44% | +1.1 | +25.9 | -4.0 | -22.9 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 44% | 6% | 24% | +25.5 | -22.5 | -0.4 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 22% | 6% | 21% | +31.0 | -12.0 | -8.9 | -10.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 84% | 7% | 2% | 7% | -5.3 | +21.8 | -13.4 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 78% | 15% | 1% | 6% | +5.5 | -3.0 | +8.5 | -11.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 89% | 6% | 1% | 3% | -1.3 | -2.6 | +1.2 | +2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 89% | 6% | 1% | 4% | +1.4 | +4.2 | -4.4 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,500 | 92% | 5% | 0% | 3% | +4.7 | -0.2 | -1.3 | -3.2 |