Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/24 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +7.0 | -1.9 | +0.9 | -5.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 30% | 24% | 25% | 21% | -3.2 | +1.3 | -20.3 | +22.2 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 24% | 14% | 37% | +0.4 | -3.2 | -8.8 | +11.6 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 19% | 9% | 47% | +2.5 | +26.7 | -4.8 | -24.4 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 27% | 41% | 7% | 25% | +24.8 | -22.4 | +0.8 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 21% | 7% | 20% | +28.8 | -9.2 | -10.0 | -9.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 82% | 8% | 2% | 8% | -3.5 | +19.4 | -13.6 | -2.3 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 79% | 14% | 1% | 6% | +4.9 | -1.4 | +8.8 | -12.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 89% | 7% | 1% | 3% | -1.9 | -2.3 | +0.8 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 88% | 7% | 1% | 4% | +1.8 | +3.7 | -4.0 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,500 | 92% | 5% | 0% | 3% | +4.9 | -0.2 | -1.5 | -3.2 |