Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/25 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +26.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -10.2 | -3.4 | -3.4 | +16.9 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 23% | 22% | 38% | -6.2 | +10.1 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 30% | 21% | 35% | -6.2 | +1.2 | +2.1 | +2.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 30% | 22% | 37% | -3.6 | -9.8 | +19.6 | -6.2 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 10% | 22% | 36% | 32% | -2.2 | +0.6 | -24.8 | +26.5 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 7% | 20% | 15% | 58% | -5.5 | -2.1 | +8.2 | -0.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 5% | 17% | 19% | 59% | -4.0 | 0.0 | +0.3 | +3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 16% | 17% | 65% | +5.5 | -4.6 | -4.1 | +3.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,500 | 3% | 10% | 15% | 72% | -3.4 | -4.9 | +12.5 | -4.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 9% | 22% | 66% | +31.6 | -13.2 | -22.7 | +4.4 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 11% | 6% | 6% | 78% | +16.1 | +5.9 | -30.2 | +8.3 |