Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/25 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +28.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -15.1 | -3.5 | -0.2 | +18.8 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 21% | 24% | 39% | -4.0 | +11.1 | -4.1 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 29% | 20% | 37% | -5.4 | +2.7 | +0.4 | +2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 31% | 20% | 37% | -3.6 | -10.6 | +21.5 | -7.3 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 11% | 22% | 36% | 32% | -3.9 | -0.2 | -24.4 | +28.5 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 7% | 18% | 15% | 60% | -2.4 | -0.8 | +6.6 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 18% | 18% | 57% | -5.3 | -1.4 | +1.1 | +5.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 15% | 17% | 65% | +4.6 | -3.6 | -3.3 | +2.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,500 | 4% | 11% | 14% | 71% | -3.5 | -4.0 | +10.1 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 9% | 20% | 69% | +31.2 | -13.3 | -21.5 | +3.5 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 11% | 6% | 5% | 78% | +16.6 | +5.3 | -29.6 | +7.8 |