Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/25 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+73.8pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 27% | 23% | 24% | 26% | -3.4 | +1.8 | +21.5 | -19.9 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 7,800 | 22% | 24% | 40% | 14% | -6.1 | +19.7 | -8.5 | -5.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 38% | 32% | 12% | +33.5 | -18.2 | -7.8 | -7.6 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 7,800 | 45% | 22% | 25% | 8% | -9.4 | -6.0 | +21.0 | -5.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 34% | 17% | 42% | 7% | +0.8 | -12.7 | +0.7 | +11.3 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 12% | 44% | 10% | +14.5 | -3.8 | -0.5 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 9% | 39% | 5% | +30.1 | -6.6 | -16.4 | -7.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 82% | 3% | 13% | 1% | +17.9 | -5.5 | -8.1 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 95% | 0% | 4% | 1% | -7.1 | -3.2 | +0.2 | +10.1 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 94% | 1% | 4% | 1% | +0.7 | -12.1 | +1.7 | +9.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 95% | 0% | 4% | 1% | +2.0 | -2.1 | +1.1 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 9,600 | 96% | 0% | 3% | 1% | -6.3 | -3.4 | +16.3 | -6.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 89% | 0% | 10% | 1% | +4.5 | +20.1 | -15.4 | -9.2 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.4 | +2.4 | +5.0 | -7.8 |