Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

1/25 Game 2

Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+73.8pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +33.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Nikaido Aki● Kobayashi Go● Kurosawa Saki● Uotani Yuumi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Nikaido● Kobayashi● Kurosawa● Uotani
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
East 1Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi26%24%26%24%-3.8+1.2+21.1-18.5
East 2Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,80021%23%41%15%-6.2+19.2-6.2-6.8
East 2, 1 honbaNikaido Aki tsumo 12,00017%37%33%12%+33.2-18.3-9.0-5.9
East 3Kurosawa Saki tsumo 7,80042%21%28%10%-5.7-7.9+20.6-7.0
East 3, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go36%15%43%7%0.0-8.9+0.1+8.8
East 4Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,00035%13%44%8%+12.1-4.1-2.3-5.6
South 1Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,00047%9%39%5%+30.8-7.3-14.6-9.0
South 1, 1 honbaNikaido Aki tsumo 12,00082%3%13%1%+18.0-5.3-7.7-5.0
South 1, 2 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki95%1%4%0%-7.8-3.6+1.0+10.4
South 2Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go93%1%6%1%+1.5-13.1+0.9+10.6
South 3Draw95%0%4%1%+2.3-0.6+0.7-2.4
South 3, 1 honbaKurosawa Saki tsumo 9,60096%0%3%1%-7.1-4.5+16.5-4.9
South 3, 2 honbaKobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki88%0%11%1%+4.9+19.5-15.8-8.6
South 4Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go99%0%0%1%+0.3+3.1+5.1-8.5

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)