Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/27 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +21.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -1.5 | -0.9 | -3.8 | +6.2 |
| East 2 | Maruyama Kanako ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 24% | 24% | 23% | 29% | +4.7 | 0.0 | -4.4 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Maruyama Kanako ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 27% | 24% | 20% | 29% | +5.6 | +0.4 | -3.0 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 31% | 24% | 17% | 28% | -5.3 | +3.0 | -1.6 | +3.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 16% | 31% | -8.4 | -7.2 | +33.3 | -17.7 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 21% | 20% | 43% | 16% | -3.2 | +21.6 | -16.4 | -2.0 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,900 from Okada Sayaka | 18% | 38% | 27% | 17% | +1.5 | +15.1 | -12.3 | -4.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 16% | 54% | 17% | 13% | +19.5 | -1.5 | -1.2 | -16.7 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,400 from Setokuma Naoki | 29% | 51% | 14% | 6% | -2.1 | -1.4 | +10.8 | -7.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 48% | 21% | 4% | -5.9 | +4.0 | +4.5 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 20% | 54% | 22% | 4% | -5.1 | +16.5 | -5.9 | -5.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 11% | 80% | 8% | 2% | -1.5 | -2.0 | -0.1 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 11% | 76% | 10% | 3% | -11.8 | +10.3 | +14.1 | -12.6 |