Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

1/27 Game 1

Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Akina Mizuhara ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +22.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance	Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance	Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance	Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance	Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change	Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change	Sayaka Okada Expected pt change	Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change
East 1	Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada	27%	24%	23%	26%	-3.8	+0.7	-5.0	+8.1
East 2	Kanako Maruyama ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma	23%	25%	21%	31%	+3.8	-2.0	-0.1	-1.7
East 3	Kanako Maruyama ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma	26%	23%	21%	31%	+5.4	+0.1	-1.1	-4.4
East 4	Exhaustive draw	31%	23%	19%	27%	-3.2	+2.7	-3.1	+3.7
East 4, 1 honba	Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000	27%	25%	17%	31%	-7.2	-6.2	+29.7	-16.3
South 1	Akina Mizuhara ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada	21%	21%	40%	18%	-3.6	+22.2	-15.2	-3.5
South 2	Akina Mizuhara ron 2,900 from Sayaka Okada	18%	38%	26%	18%	+0.4	+13.8	-10.9	-3.3
South 2, 1 honba	Kanako Maruyama ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma	16%	53%	17%	14%	+20.1	-0.9	-1.4	-17.8
South 3	Sayaka Okada ron 2,400 from Naoki Setokuma	29%	51%	14%	6%	-1.1	-1.7	+10.3	-7.4
South 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	28%	49%	20%	4%	-7.4	+4.3	+5.4	-2.3
South 3, 2 honba	Akina Mizuhara ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma	20%	54%	22%	4%	-5.2	+16.9	-6.5	-5.2
South 4	Exhaustive draw	10%	81%	7%	2%	+0.4	-2.6	-0.7	+2.9
South 4, 1 honba	Sayaka Okada ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma	13%	77%	8%	3%	-13.6	+10.3	+15.3	-11.9

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)