Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/27 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +26.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -14.4 | +24.0 | -6.8 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 44% | 19% | 21% | +5.5 | -3.3 | -0.2 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 18% | 40% | 21% | 22% | -1.1 | +26.5 | -24.1 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 68% | 6% | 14% | +2.9 | -3.9 | -3.6 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 16,000 | 14% | 63% | 5% | 18% | -16.1 | -7.2 | +50.1 | -26.8 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Makoto Sawazaki | 8% | 55% | 30% | 7% | -2.5 | -2.4 | +15.3 | -10.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 49% | 44% | 4% | -3.7 | +3.5 | +3.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 50% | 45% | 2% | -2.9 | +16.0 | -10.3 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 1% | 73% | 25% | 1% | -1.7 | -0.8 | +4.8 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 72% | 26% | 1% | +5.2 | +4.0 | -6.4 | -2.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 83% | 16% | 1% | -3.7 | -1.2 | -2.7 | +7.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 84% | 14% | 2% | -2.9 | -1.6 | 0.0 | +4.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 82% | 16% | 2% | +9.6 | +7.7 | -6.8 | -10.5 |