Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/28 Game 2
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +34.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +30.2 | -8.7 | -11.0 | -10.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 50% | 18% | 15% | 17% | -20.0 | +31.0 | -5.1 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,000 | 31% | 40% | 14% | 15% | -8.9 | +20.0 | -4.6 | -6.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 59% | 10% | 10% | +3.7 | -4.0 | -3.3 | +3.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 1,500 from Sayaka Kayamori | 23% | 55% | 10% | 12% | -2.2 | -1.3 | +10.8 | -7.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 55% | 15% | 9% | -9.7 | -15.4 | +34.7 | -9.6 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 18% | 38% | 37% | 7% | -1.6 | +10.8 | -3.3 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 48% | 32% | 5% | -7.4 | -12.4 | +32.6 | -12.8 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 6,000 | 7% | 26% | 65% | 2% | +13.0 | -4.2 | -5.5 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 13% | 25% | 61% | 1% | -4.0 | -2.6 | +9.5 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,000 | 7% | 18% | 74% | 1% | -8.4 | +20.1 | -9.1 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 39% | 57% | 0% | -3.4 | -9.1 | +2.0 | +10.5 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 3% | 30% | 66% | 2% | -1.9 | +8.1 | -1.8 | -4.4 |
| South 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 1,300 from Sayaka Kayamori | 1% | 36% | 63% | 1% | +0.5 | -13.5 | +17.2 | -4.3 |