Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

1/28 Game 2

Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +33.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance	Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance	Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance	Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance	Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change	Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change	Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change	Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change
East 1	Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000	24%	24%	27%	25%	+31.3	-8.2	-13.1	-10.0
East 1, 1 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000	48%	19%	16%	17%	-21.4	+32.2	-5.6	-5.3
East 2	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000	28%	41%	15%	16%	-5.1	+18.0	-7.2	-5.7
East 2, 1 honba	Draw	21%	58%	10%	11%	+2.6	-1.7	-1.6	+0.6
East 3, 2 honba	Nikaido Rumi ron 1,500 from Kayamori Sayaka	24%	56%	10%	10%	-1.8	-3.0	+11.2	-6.4
East 3, 3 honba	Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000	23%	54%	14%	9%	-11.4	-12.6	+33.6	-9.6
East 3, 4 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	17%	40%	37%	7%	-2.0	+9.7	-2.3	-5.4
East 4	Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000	13%	50%	32%	6%	-5.8	-12.0	+31.1	-13.3
South 1	Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,000	7%	28%	64%	1%	+13.1	-5.4	-3.7	-3.9
South 1, 1 honba	Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	14%	25%	61%	1%	-5.4	-1.0	+8.3	-1.9
South 2	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000	6%	20%	73%	1%	-5.9	+18.9	-9.8	-3.2
South 2, 1 honba	Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000	5%	40%	55%	0%	-4.2	-8.4	+1.8	+10.7
South 3	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	3%	32%	64%	1%	-1.9	+7.0	-0.6	-4.5
South 4	Nikaido Rumi ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka	1%	36%	62%	1%	+0.3	-13.5	+17.4	-4.2

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)