Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/31 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+86.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +24.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +6.8 | -0.1 | -4.3 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 31% | 24% | 22% | 23% | -22.2 | -2.4 | +0.3 | +24.4 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 21% | 21% | 41% | -5.3 | -12.6 | -3.9 | +21.9 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 10% | 11% | 16% | 64% | -17.1 | +1.8 | -3.1 | +18.4 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 7% | 7% | 83% | -5.3 | -6.5 | -5.1 | +16.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 18,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | -27.9 | +4.5 | +2.6 | +20.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -2.7 | +6.5 | -1.4 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +9.1 | -3.2 | -3.3 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -13.9 | +27.7 | -9.6 | -4.2 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 3% | 0% | 97% | -0.1 | -7.1 | +5.7 | +1.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.7 | -1.7 | +3.4 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0.0 | +8.8 | -5.0 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0.0 | -0.4 | +1.5 | -1.2 |