Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/31 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+86.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +22.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | +6.2 | -2.2 | -2.6 | -1.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 30% | 23% | 23% | 24% | -22.8 | -0.1 | +0.3 | +22.6 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 23% | 21% | 42% | -4.0 | -12.8 | -4.6 | +21.4 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 11% | 12% | 16% | 62% | -18.3 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +17.8 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 7% | 9% | 81% | -5.2 | -5.1 | -7.8 | +18.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 18,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 1% | 2% | 2% | 95% | -27.9 | +4.0 | +2.9 | +21.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 99% | -0.9 | +5.3 | -2.0 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 99% | +7.1 | -2.8 | -2.0 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -13.8 | +27.6 | -9.2 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 3% | 1% | 97% | +0.5 | -6.6 | +5.0 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -1.1 | -1.6 | +3.5 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +0.3 | +8.2 | -4.7 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.1 | +0.1 | +1.2 | -1.1 |