Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
1/31 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +5.2 | -1.5 | -2.9 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 30% | 25% | 22% | 23% | +1.9 | +2.4 | -1.9 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 24% | 21% | 22% | -8.9 | +16.0 | -4.9 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 23% | 37% | 19% | 22% | +1.6 | -23.7 | +21.9 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 25% | 20% | 34% | 22% | +0.6 | -29.2 | +29.8 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 5% | 58% | 16% | -1.7 | -1.6 | -2.7 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Date Arisa | 20% | 4% | 57% | 18% | -0.8 | +0.6 | -7.0 | +7.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 9,600 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 5% | 49% | 25% | -27.0 | +0.5 | -1.8 | +28.3 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 4% | 43% | 48% | -3.5 | -1.9 | +15.4 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 5% | 3% | 60% | 32% | -1.0 | -14.3 | -5.6 | +20.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 1% | 44% | 55% | -2.7 | +5.2 | -1.2 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 44% | 55% | +2.9 | +1.2 | -2.2 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 2% | 43% | 54% | -0.1 | -4.6 | +8.7 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 56% | 44% | -1.1 | +2.9 | +2.9 | -4.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% | -16.9 | +22.1 | +12.0 | -17.1 |