Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/1 Game 1
Takaya Matsugase finished 1st (+72.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaya Matsugase's expected points by +22.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -13.3 | -7.3 | -2.1 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 7,800 | 15% | 20% | 22% | 42% | -5.3 | +20.9 | -9.7 | -6.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 35% | 16% | 37% | -5.1 | -11.3 | -4.1 | +20.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 23% | 13% | 55% | -1.2 | -5.0 | +2.2 | +4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 9% | 18% | 13% | 60% | -1.7 | -0.8 | -10.7 | +13.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 14% | 6% | 75% | -1.8 | -3.1 | +4.6 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 6,000 | 4% | 10% | 6% | 79% | +18.0 | -5.5 | -7.2 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 11% | 11% | 6% | 73% | -26.4 | +25.1 | -0.2 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 21% | 4% | 74% | -0.3 | +5.1 | -1.2 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 1% | 27% | 5% | 67% | -1.0 | -11.1 | -1.9 | +14.0 |
| South 3 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 8% | 2% | 89% | -0.3 | -11.9 | -0.1 | +12.2 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -12.7 | +4.9 | +8.8 | -0.9 |