Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

2/1 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+78.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +27.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Kenji Katsumata● Naoki Setokuma● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yuumi● Kenji● Naoki● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Naoki Setokuma
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Naoki Setokuma
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
East 1Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,00026%25%23%26%-12.9-3.1+26.5-10.5
East 2Yuumi Uotani ron 5,800 from Naoki Setokuma16%22%45%18%+1.4+15.1-19.1+2.6
East 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw17%33%29%21%-2.6-3.5+9.3-3.1
East 3, 2 honbaKenji Katsumata tsumo 4,00017%29%36%18%+12.7-0.2-10.3-2.2
East 4Ken Sonoda ron 2,400 from Kenji Katsumata24%30%27%19%-6.8-3.6+0.7+9.8
East 4, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00020%27%28%25%-6.4+27.5-5.1-16.1
South 1Exhaustive draw14%52%22%12%-11.8+5.6+6.0+0.1
South 2, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 1,500 from Kenji Katsumata6%59%25%10%-7.0+9.8-2.0-0.8
South 2, 2 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 5,800 from Naoki Setokuma2%72%18%8%+1.5+17.0-19.5+1.0
South 2, 3 honbaExhaustive draw1%89%6%4%-2.7-0.8-3.9+7.4
South 3, 4 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata0%91%4%5%-20.4+13.4+3.8+3.2
South 4Exhaustive draw0%98%0%2%-1.2+2.0-5.0+4.2
South 4, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda0%99%0%1%+5.8+0.4+15.9-22.1

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)