Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/3 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+62.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -16.8 | -9.6 | +32.8 | -6.4 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 13% | 17% | 50% | 20% | +24.5 | -2.7 | +0.1 | -21.9 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 26% | 13% | 51% | 10% | -0.2 | -12.1 | -1.6 | +13.9 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 25% | 9% | 50% | 16% | -0.2 | +22.1 | +2.9 | -24.9 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 24% | 18% | 53% | 5% | -25.4 | +22.0 | +3.7 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 31% | 58% | 5% | -5.0 | -15.6 | +24.2 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 6% | 92% | 2% | -1.2 | +0.1 | -1.1 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 3% | 94% | 3% | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.9 | +3.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 4% | 93% | 3% | +7.4 | +3.5 | +2.1 | -13.0 |