Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/3 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+62.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 26% | 23% | -18.3 | -11.0 | +34.4 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 12% | 16% | 54% | 18% | +24.8 | -1.3 | -4.5 | -19.0 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 3,900 from Makoto Sawazaki | 26% | 15% | 49% | 10% | 0.0 | -12.2 | +1.6 | +10.7 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 25% | 9% | 52% | 14% | +1.0 | +20.4 | +2.0 | -23.4 |
| South 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 25% | 16% | 54% | 5% | -26.5 | +23.9 | +2.9 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 31% | 58% | 4% | -4.4 | -14.9 | +23.8 | -4.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 6% | 91% | 2% | -1.3 | -1.1 | +0.1 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 2% | 96% | 2% | -1.9 | -0.7 | -2.3 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 4% | 92% | 3% | +7.5 | +3.0 | +2.8 | -13.3 |