Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/3 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+67.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +31.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -3.6 | +1.7 | +16.0 | -14.0 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 25% | 35% | 18% | -5.1 | -18.9 | +31.5 | -7.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 10% | 65% | 11% | -2.1 | +6.2 | -3.4 | -0.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 13% | 14% | 62% | 12% | +27.0 | -23.9 | +2.2 | -5.4 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 4% | 63% | 6% | -17.9 | -5.7 | +26.6 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 3% | 1% | 95% | 2% | -6.9 | +2.8 | +1.3 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 1% | 95% | 2% | -7.3 | +19.2 | -3.2 | -8.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 4% | 94% | 2% | -3.2 | +8.7 | -2.3 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 5% | 91% | 2% | -7.6 | -14.9 | -0.7 | +23.1 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 1% | 95% | 4% | -23.1 | +25.0 | 0.0 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -2.7 | +5.8 | +1.4 | -4.6 |