Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/3 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+67.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +31.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -1.9 | -0.3 | +13.8 | -11.6 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 25% | 35% | 18% | -5.7 | -19.2 | +31.2 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 11% | 64% | 10% | -3.3 | +5.1 | +0.8 | -2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 12% | 11% | 67% | 10% | +26.5 | -21.7 | -0.6 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 5% | 65% | 6% | -16.8 | -6.3 | +26.3 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 1% | 94% | 2% | -5.5 | +2.8 | +0.4 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 1% | 95% | 2% | -7.6 | +19.3 | -2.7 | -9.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 3% | 94% | 2% | -4.2 | +8.3 | -2.3 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 4% | 92% | 2% | -7.5 | -13.8 | -1.2 | +22.5 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 1% | 95% | 4% | -22.2 | +24.5 | -0.6 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | -3.5 | +6.2 | +2.4 | -5.1 |