Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/4 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+64.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -8.8 | -1.2 | -1.3 | +11.4 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 20% | 24% | 24% | 32% | +0.2 | +8.0 | 0.0 | -8.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 29% | 24% | 28% | +35.9 | -17.1 | -8.0 | -10.8 |
| East 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 48% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 0.0 | -1.2 | +14.5 | -13.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 48% | 14% | 26% | 12% | +13.0 | +3.1 | -14.3 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 5,200 | 63% | 14% | 13% | 10% | -2.0 | -7.0 | +18.4 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 61% | 11% | 23% | 5% | -2.0 | +4.1 | -3.3 | +1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 60% | 12% | 22% | 6% | -3.8 | +6.8 | -1.1 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 55% | 17% | 23% | 6% | +21.2 | -18.0 | -1.5 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 84% | 2% | 11% | 4% | +7.1 | -1.4 | -4.9 | -0.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | +2.0 | +3.3 | +7.0 | -12.4 |