Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/4 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+64.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -7.1 | -6.2 | -0.8 | +14.2 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 21% | 22% | 23% | 34% | -1.2 | +14.0 | -1.1 | -11.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 31% | 23% | 26% | +35.6 | -20.9 | -6.7 | -8.0 |
| East 3 | Takaya Matsugase ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 49% | 15% | 17% | 19% | -0.4 | +0.3 | +14.3 | -14.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 48% | 15% | 25% | 12% | +13.7 | +0.5 | -13.4 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 5,200 | 63% | 13% | 14% | 10% | -3.3 | -5.0 | +18.0 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 59% | 11% | 24% | 6% | -1.0 | +2.3 | -1.8 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 61% | 11% | 23% | 6% | -2.5 | +3.5 | -3.2 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 58% | 13% | 21% | 8% | +19.0 | -13.9 | -1.0 | -4.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 83% | 1% | 11% | 5% | +7.5 | -1.3 | -4.8 | -1.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 95% | 0% | 1% | 3% | +2.4 | +4.0 | +6.9 | -13.4 |