Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/7 Game 1
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+61.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +26.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,900 from Asakura Koshin | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | +9.7 | -7.0 | -2.7 | 0.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 31% | 21% | 22% | 26% | -23.3 | -2.8 | +0.3 | +25.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 18% | 22% | 45% | +7.0 | -5.7 | -1.4 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 14% | 21% | 47% | -5.9 | -4.3 | -16.3 | +26.5 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 8% | 7% | 74% | +8.0 | -1.6 | -4.3 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 13% | 8% | 6% | 73% | -2.4 | -20.4 | +3.6 | +19.2 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 2% | 3% | 93% | +16.1 | -11.1 | -4.0 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 4% | 0% | 2% | 94% | -0.7 | -1.5 | +3.6 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Asakura Koshin | 5% | 0% | 3% | 92% | +9.9 | -7.9 | -2.8 | +0.9 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 5% | 0% | 0% | 95% | -2.0 | +0.1 | +8.9 | -7.0 |