Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/7 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +50.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -14.6 | -2.7 | -4.2 | +21.5 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Hori Shingo | 15% | 23% | 21% | 41% | +0.5 | +6.1 | -9.0 | +2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 25% | 16% | 44% | -9.4 | +30.6 | -7.4 | -13.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 50% | 13% | 27% | -6.0 | -13.1 | +21.9 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 9% | 38% | 24% | 29% | +1.0 | -0.3 | +10.8 | -11.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 9% | 38% | 31% | 22% | -3.6 | +6.7 | -2.2 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 8% | 45% | 28% | 19% | -3.7 | +1.2 | +5.8 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 46% | 33% | 15% | +17.5 | -4.8 | -8.2 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 43% | 27% | 16% | -15.9 | -10.8 | +32.9 | -6.1 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 3% | 25% | 62% | 10% | +1.5 | +11.9 | -5.4 | -8.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 37% | 52% | 7% | -4.8 | -6.6 | +13.2 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 23% | 72% | 4% | -5.1 | -2.4 | +1.0 | +6.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 16% | 78% | 6% | -10.0 | +50.7 | -33.5 | -7.2 |