Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

2/8 Game 1

Murakami Jun finished 1st (+88.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +26.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 1End● Murakami Jun● Uotani Yuumi● Sasaki Hisato● Ooi Takaharu0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Murakami● Uotani● Sasaki● Ooi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMurakami Jun
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Murakami Jun
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
East 1Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,00024%25%25%26%-6.6-4.0-5.7+16.3
East 2Murakami Jun tsumo 1,50019%24%21%37%+7.2-6.3+0.3-1.2
East 3Murakami Jun tsumo 8,00025%17%22%36%+26.2-1.7-15.5-9.0
East 4Murakami Jun tsumo 8,00046%16%11%27%+23.8-4.9-5.0-14.0
South 1Murakami Jun tsumo 3,00073%9%7%11%+5.6-3.0-1.5-1.1
South 1, 1 honbaDraw78%7%6%9%+6.3-2.3-1.4-2.6
South 1, 2 honbaMurakami Jun tsumo 12,00084%5%4%7%+17.6-5.4-5.8-6.3
South 1, 3 honbaMurakami Jun ron 18,000 from Sasaki Hisato96%1%1%2%+21.8+6.3-33.3+5.2
South 1, 4 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Murakami Jun99%0%0%0%-9.0-3.4+12.0+0.4
South 2Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun99%1%0%1%-1.2-1.6-2.1+5.0
South 3Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun99%0%0%1%-1.7+6.6-6.2+1.3
South 4Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi100%0%0%0%-0.1-13.1+8.3+4.9

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)