Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

2/8 Game 1

Jun Murakami finished 1st (+88.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +25.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 1End● Jun Murakami● Yuumi Uotani● Hisato Sasaki● Takaharu Ooi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Jun● Yuumi● Hisato● Takaharu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultJun Murakami
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Jun Murakami
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,00027%25%24%24%-9.5-2.6-3.6+15.7
East 2Jun Murakami tsumo 1,50018%22%23%37%+6.5-4.4-0.9-1.2
East 3Jun Murakami tsumo 8,00023%19%22%36%+25.7-2.8-14.2-8.6
East 4Jun Murakami tsumo 8,00045%16%12%27%+23.8-6.6-5.1-12.1
South 1Jun Murakami tsumo 3,00071%9%7%13%+8.2-2.9-1.2-4.0
South 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw80%6%5%8%+4.1+0.5-1.7-2.9
South 1, 2 honbaJun Murakami tsumo 12,00084%6%4%7%+18.1-7.4-5.0-5.7
South 1, 3 honbaJun Murakami ron 18,000 from Hisato Sasaki95%2%2%2%+21.8+6.3-32.9+4.8
South 1, 4 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Jun Murakami99%0%0%0%-8.5-2.3+9.8+1.0
South 2Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami99%1%0%1%-1.7-1.6-1.5+4.8
South 3Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami99%0%0%1%-1.5+6.2-5.8+1.1
South 4Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani100%0%0%0%+0.2-13.3+8.0+5.1

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)