Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/8 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+59.5pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +37.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +3.0 | -1.3 | +0.8 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 23% | 25% | 23% | +4.3 | -1.9 | -4.7 | +2.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 31% | 23% | 22% | 25% | -9.0 | +16.2 | -5.2 | -2.0 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 34% | 19% | 24% | -4.4 | +14.7 | -5.9 | -4.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 46% | 15% | 21% | -2.4 | +4.9 | +1.0 | -3.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 18% | 49% | 15% | 17% | -1.6 | -3.5 | -28.7 | +33.8 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 43% | 5% | 38% | -0.1 | +1.4 | -8.3 | +7.1 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 12% | 42% | 2% | 44% | -18.1 | +2.9 | +15.0 | +0.2 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 46% | 4% | 44% | +45.6 | -15.8 | -12.8 | -16.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 34% | 33% | 2% | 30% | -2.2 | +5.3 | -0.8 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 32% | 38% | 2% | 28% | +4.2 | +0.8 | -0.8 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 35% | 38% | 2% | 24% | -2.1 | -1.8 | +3.9 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 34% | 37% | 4% | 26% | -4.1 | -3.8 | +1.5 | +6.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 31% | 34% | 4% | 31% | -12.3 | -10.5 | -14.8 | +37.6 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 9% | 11% | 0% | 79% | -12.0 | +7.8 | -3.3 | +7.5 |