Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/10 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +49.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -17.5 | -5.3 | +25.6 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 19% | 44% | 22% | -3.0 | +9.8 | -2.3 | -4.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 27% | 42% | 19% | +8.2 | -4.7 | -1.3 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 22% | 41% | 18% | +30.4 | -6.7 | -17.2 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 40% | 18% | 26% | 16% | -24.0 | +27.0 | -0.8 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 40% | 25% | 14% | -15.5 | -6.2 | -4.6 | +26.4 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 12% | 34% | 23% | 30% | -11.9 | +2.3 | -1.8 | +11.4 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Seiichi Kondo | 6% | 34% | 20% | 40% | -3.8 | +19.7 | -3.4 | -12.5 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 66% | 10% | 21% | -6.4 | -29.4 | -13.4 | +49.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 7% | 2% | 92% | -6.3 | +4.1 | -0.1 | +2.3 |