Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/10 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +51.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -13.6 | -7.5 | +25.1 | -4.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 19% | 44% | 22% | -2.3 | +7.0 | -1.7 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 23% | 43% | 20% | +5.7 | -2.1 | -1.3 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 22% | 41% | 19% | +29.3 | -4.3 | -18.9 | -6.1 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 39% | 21% | 24% | 16% | -23.5 | +24.4 | +3.7 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 40% | 27% | 13% | -16.7 | -6.2 | -4.6 | +27.4 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 11% | 34% | 24% | 31% | -8.4 | +1.6 | -4.7 | +11.5 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Kondo Seiichi | 7% | 33% | 20% | 40% | -5.7 | +22.3 | -2.4 | -14.1 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 69% | 10% | 20% | -6.2 | -31.1 | -13.8 | +51.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 7% | 2% | 92% | -6.0 | +4.2 | -0.3 | +2.1 |