Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/11 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+56.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -5.6 | +5.4 | +1.3 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 22% | 29% | 25% | 24% | +14.9 | -5.9 | -10.3 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 24% | 19% | 26% | -12.3 | -10.6 | +34.3 | -11.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 21% | 16% | 44% | 19% | +0.8 | +12.9 | -2.7 | -11.1 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 25% | 41% | 13% | -10.7 | +36.1 | -9.4 | -16.0 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 12% | 57% | 26% | 5% | -23.3 | -4.6 | +27.2 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 43% | 53% | 3% | +20.0 | -26.3 | +9.7 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 16% | 76% | 4% | -8.1 | -3.2 | -0.1 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 1% | 9% | 84% | 6% | +32.3 | -17.1 | +7.5 | -22.6 |