Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/11 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+56.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -6.4 | +7.3 | -2.6 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 21% | 29% | 24% | 26% | +13.8 | -6.7 | -8.0 | +1.0 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 23% | 19% | 27% | -12.9 | -7.7 | +32.5 | -11.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 21% | 17% | 42% | 20% | +2.8 | +10.6 | -1.7 | -11.7 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 23% | 41% | 14% | -11.6 | +36.4 | -7.9 | -16.9 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 12% | 57% | 27% | 4% | -23.5 | -4.8 | +26.9 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 1% | 43% | 54% | 3% | +19.8 | -24.8 | +8.9 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 16% | 77% | 3% | -7.3 | -4.4 | -0.4 | +12.1 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 1% | 9% | 84% | 6% | +32.2 | -17.2 | +7.7 | -22.6 |