Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/11 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +55.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -17.8 | +29.3 | -6.6 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 14% | 48% | 18% | 20% | +0.1 | -5.6 | +3.3 | +2.3 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 43% | 21% | 22% | +6.8 | +3.3 | -6.5 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 16% | 48% | 16% | 20% | -1.4 | -0.4 | -6.5 | +8.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 17% | 47% | 13% | 23% | -6.0 | -6.5 | -4.3 | +16.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 13% | 40% | 11% | 37% | -2.7 | -1.4 | +6.2 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 12% | 39% | 15% | 34% | +21.4 | -5.8 | -8.6 | -7.0 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 24% | 34% | 12% | 30% | +0.7 | +2.8 | +28.3 | -31.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 25% | 37% | 26% | 11% | -0.9 | -3.2 | -2.6 | +6.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 35% | 24% | 17% | -4.6 | +19.1 | -6.1 | -8.4 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 17% | 61% | 11% | 11% | +55.9 | -49.8 | +9.0 | -15.2 |