Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/11 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +55.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -19.3 | +29.5 | -7.5 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 13% | 46% | 18% | 23% | +1.5 | -3.6 | +4.9 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 44% | 21% | 21% | +7.5 | +3.1 | -5.0 | -5.6 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki | 17% | 49% | 18% | 17% | -2.9 | -0.3 | -7.9 | +11.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 6,000 | 16% | 47% | 13% | 24% | -4.4 | -6.8 | -7.0 | +18.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 39% | 10% | 37% | -4.4 | -0.4 | +6.9 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 12% | 39% | 14% | 35% | +23.4 | -8.3 | -7.9 | -7.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 25% | 33% | 11% | 31% | -2.1 | +3.8 | +28.5 | -30.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 38% | 27% | 13% | -0.1 | -2.4 | -4.4 | +6.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 34% | 23% | 19% | -3.1 | +17.7 | -4.1 | -10.5 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 18% | 60% | 11% | 12% | +55.0 | -48.6 | +8.9 | -15.3 |