Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/14 Game 1
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+82.3pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 16,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +46.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.5 | +0.3 | +6.8 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 16,000 | 22% | 25% | 29% | 24% | -10.6 | -26.8 | +46.6 | -9.3 |
| East 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,900 from Murakami Jun | 10% | 6% | 71% | 14% | -1.1 | -6.6 | +6.7 | +1.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 4% | 77% | 11% | -9.3 | -7.5 | +27.4 | -10.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 1% | 96% | 2% | -1.0 | -1.0 | +3.0 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 0% | 97% | 2% | +25.7 | -7.2 | -9.4 | -9.2 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 1% | 93% | 2% | +16.3 | -3.3 | -2.4 | -10.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 9% | 0% | 90% | 1% | +2.6 | -1.3 | -2.9 | +1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 7,700 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 11% | 1% | 88% | 1% | +16.5 | +3.5 | -5.1 | -14.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 24% | 0% | 75% | 0% | -5.8 | -2.0 | +7.6 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 13% | 0% | 87% | 0% | -12.3 | -7.7 | +4.1 | +15.9 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 3% | 0% | 97% | 0% | +8.4 | +8.7 | -0.5 | -16.6 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 2% | 0% | 98% | 0% | +11.4 | +7.9 | +1.5 | -20.8 |