Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/14 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +56.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -13.0 | -5.3 | +22.3 | -4.0 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,900 | 16% | 21% | 41% | 22% | -2.3 | +8.7 | -3.4 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 16% | 26% | 38% | 21% | -27.7 | -1.2 | -1.5 | +30.4 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Nikaido Rumi | 5% | 22% | 33% | 40% | -6.1 | +9.8 | -5.7 | +2.0 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Nikaido Rumi | 3% | 29% | 27% | 42% | -10.7 | -4.9 | -1.8 | +17.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 19% | 22% | 58% | -2.3 | +40.7 | -0.8 | -37.7 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 64% | 18% | 17% | +17.7 | -7.4 | -4.8 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 3% | 60% | 20% | 18% | -6.9 | +4.2 | -0.5 | +3.2 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 66% | 18% | 16% | +13.2 | -3.1 | -3.7 | -6.4 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 69% | 15% | 14% | -10.5 | -31.5 | +56.9 | -15.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 11% | 83% | 5% | -11.5 | -2.9 | +1.3 | +13.0 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 5% | 88% | 8% | +4.7 | +2.2 | +4.4 | -11.3 |