Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/14 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +56.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 24% | 26% | -13.8 | -4.9 | +23.8 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,900 | 16% | 19% | 43% | 22% | -3.4 | +11.3 | -3.8 | -4.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 15% | 27% | 38% | 20% | -26.1 | -3.5 | -2.6 | +32.2 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Rumi Nikaido | 5% | 20% | 34% | 41% | -5.9 | +11.1 | -5.4 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Rumi Nikaido | 3% | 29% | 27% | 41% | -11.8 | -5.0 | -1.5 | +18.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 21% | 22% | 56% | -1.4 | +40.0 | -1.3 | -37.3 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 64% | 18% | 17% | +18.4 | -5.7 | -7.3 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 4% | 62% | 17% | 17% | -8.5 | +3.5 | +1.1 | +3.8 |
| South 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 67% | 16% | 17% | +13.5 | -2.9 | -2.5 | -8.1 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 70% | 15% | 13% | -9.4 | -32.5 | +56.8 | -14.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 11% | 83% | 6% | -13.4 | -3.1 | +0.2 | +16.3 |
| South 4 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 4% | 85% | 10% | +5.6 | +2.4 | +5.5 | -13.5 |