Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/15 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+73.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +42.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +7.3 | -8.8 | 0.0 | +1.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 30% | 19% | 25% | 26% | -0.8 | -4.4 | +1.1 | +4.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 18% | 25% | 29% | +4.4 | +2.8 | -2.2 | -5.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 32% | 19% | 24% | 25% | -5.3 | -2.8 | +6.0 | +2.1 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 18% | 28% | 27% | -4.0 | -2.2 | -6.7 | +12.9 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 23% | 16% | 23% | 38% | -15.3 | -13.0 | -14.5 | +42.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 8% | 5% | 8% | 79% | -3.9 | -3.3 | -3.8 | +11.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 3% | 4% | 89% | +8.1 | -2.8 | -3.5 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 3% | 3% | 89% | -4.0 | +5.0 | -2.3 | +1.3 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 3% | 3% | 93% | -10.6 | -20.7 | +34.9 | -3.6 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 1% | 0% | 8% | 91% | -2.8 | +33.7 | -34.1 | +3.1 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.6 | -1.6 | -2.3 | +6.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +32.6 | -33.8 | +2.5 | -1.3 |