Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/15 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+73.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +42.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +7.7 | -6.9 | -0.9 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 30% | 21% | 24% | 25% | -3.3 | -3.2 | +1.4 | +5.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 27% | 19% | 25% | 29% | +7.2 | -0.6 | -3.3 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 34% | 18% | 23% | 26% | -6.6 | -2.6 | +8.9 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 15% | 29% | 27% | -2.5 | -2.8 | -9.1 | +14.4 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 15% | 23% | 37% | -14.5 | -11.9 | -15.9 | +42.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 5% | 6% | 79% | -6.1 | -3.2 | -2.0 | +11.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 4% | 2% | 4% | 89% | +7.5 | -2.2 | -3.0 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 6% | 3% | 3% | 89% | -3.2 | +3.2 | -2.1 | +2.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 94% | -10.3 | -20.0 | +35.0 | -4.7 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 0% | 0% | 10% | 90% | -4.0 | +35.2 | -34.9 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.4 | -2.5 | -2.0 | +5.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +31.9 | -33.7 | +2.7 | -0.9 |