Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/15 Game 2
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+75.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +27.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +27.3 | -9.4 | -9.8 | -8.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,300 from Date Arisa | 47% | 17% | 17% | 18% | -0.8 | -5.4 | +7.9 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 46% | 15% | 21% | 17% | -1.5 | +4.2 | +0.8 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 17% | 21% | 16% | -9.9 | -18.1 | -9.9 | +38.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 35% | 8% | 15% | 42% | -1.1 | -1.7 | +4.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 33% | 8% | 18% | 41% | -3.3 | -4.0 | +11.1 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 6% | 25% | 38% | +24.8 | -4.3 | -14.2 | -6.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 55% | 4% | 13% | 28% | +4.0 | -1.9 | -4.7 | +2.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 1,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 58% | 4% | 9% | 28% | +5.8 | -0.9 | -2.0 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 67% | 3% | 8% | 23% | -4.6 | +1.1 | -17.6 | +21.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 56% | 2% | 2% | 40% | -9.6 | +0.9 | +3.1 | +5.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 43% | 2% | 4% | 51% | +9.4 | -3.6 | -3.7 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 0% | 2% | 43% | +27.3 | +0.9 | -12.2 | -15.9 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 7,700 from Date Arisa | 91% | 0% | 0% | 9% | -2.9 | -15.9 | +8.2 | +10.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Date Arisa | 84% | 0% | 0% | 16% | +8.6 | -5.4 | +4.2 | -7.5 |