Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/15 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+75.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +29.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +29.7 | -10.1 | -9.4 | -10.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,300 from Arisa Date | 47% | 17% | 17% | 18% | -0.8 | -4.5 | +6.8 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 15% | 21% | 17% | -3.0 | +4.3 | -0.3 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 17% | 21% | 18% | -5.0 | -20.1 | -9.3 | +34.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 7% | 15% | 40% | -3.9 | -0.6 | +5.5 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 34% | 7% | 17% | 41% | -4.0 | -3.2 | +10.2 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 7% | 24% | 38% | +25.6 | -4.3 | -13.2 | -8.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 57% | 5% | 12% | 27% | +2.3 | -3.0 | -4.7 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 1,300 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 57% | 3% | 9% | 30% | +5.7 | -0.8 | -3.6 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 65% | 3% | 7% | 25% | -3.6 | +0.8 | -15.3 | +18.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 1% | 3% | 41% | -8.4 | +1.5 | +1.6 | +5.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 44% | 3% | 3% | 50% | +8.5 | -3.8 | -2.7 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 0% | 2% | 43% | +27.2 | +0.9 | -12.4 | -15.7 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 7,700 from Arisa Date | 91% | 0% | 0% | 9% | -2.6 | -15.7 | +8.0 | +10.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 84% | 0% | 0% | 16% | +8.4 | -5.4 | +4.3 | -7.3 |