Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/17 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +25.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -3.1 | +5.2 | -2.2 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 23% | 28% | 24% | 26% | +25.2 | -22.3 | +1.3 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 42% | 13% | 22% | 23% | +22.6 | +1.1 | -24.5 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 10% | 7% | 17% | +3.1 | +3.8 | -3.1 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 71% | 10% | 6% | 13% | +3.5 | -1.4 | +0.3 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,700 | 75% | 9% | 5% | 11% | -1.6 | -3.9 | +9.2 | -3.7 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 77% | 8% | 7% | 8% | +2.8 | -10.7 | +15.4 | -7.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 83% | 2% | 9% | 6% | +1.3 | -8.6 | +3.0 | +4.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 3,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 84% | 0% | 9% | 7% | +3.8 | -3.1 | -12.8 | +12.2 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 92% | 0% | 0% | 7% | +2.1 | -6.3 | +20.8 | -16.5 |