Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/17 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +25.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -6.6 | +5.6 | -1.1 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% | +25.6 | -23.4 | +2.0 | -4.2 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 42% | 13% | 23% | 22% | +25.1 | +2.5 | -27.0 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 66% | 10% | 7% | 17% | +0.4 | +5.0 | -2.2 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 69% | 12% | 6% | 13% | +5.5 | -2.1 | -1.7 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,700 | 74% | 9% | 5% | 12% | -2.5 | -6.1 | +11.9 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 75% | 7% | 8% | 9% | +2.3 | -10.5 | +15.7 | -7.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 82% | 1% | 11% | 7% | +1.1 | -8.2 | +3.1 | +3.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 3,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 82% | 1% | 10% | 7% | +5.2 | -3.1 | -14.4 | +12.3 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,200 | 92% | 0% | 1% | 7% | +1.7 | -5.8 | +20.7 | -16.6 |