Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/17 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+61.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 23% | +17.1 | -7.1 | -7.3 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 38% | 19% | 20% | 22% | -3.8 | -0.1 | +6.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 35% | 20% | 23% | 22% | +0.4 | -9.9 | +9.7 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 36% | 13% | 30% | 21% | -20.1 | -0.4 | -2.6 | +23.1 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 22% | 14% | 27% | 38% | -0.2 | -16.2 | -2.7 | +19.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 17% | 6% | 22% | 55% | -3.8 | -1.0 | +19.5 | -14.7 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,700 | 15% | 6% | 40% | 39% | -5.3 | -1.8 | +10.1 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 9% | 6% | 52% | 33% | +1.1 | -6.9 | +8.6 | -2.8 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 7% | 1% | 66% | 26% | +0.8 | -3.7 | +3.5 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 0% | 75% | 20% | -8.3 | -4.0 | -31.5 | +43.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 1% | 0% | 8% | 91% | -29.5 | +28.2 | -1.4 | +2.6 |