Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/18 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +67.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -17.1 | +15.1 | +0.5 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 35% | 24% | 25% | -0.3 | -2.5 | +3.4 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 16% | 32% | 27% | 26% | -22.2 | +24.8 | -1.7 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 56% | 20% | 20% | -1.4 | -1.6 | -2.6 | +5.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,900 from Kobayashi Go | 5% | 53% | 18% | 24% | +0.4 | -8.9 | +0.2 | +8.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 5% | 43% | 20% | 32% | +0.8 | +0.2 | +27.6 | -28.6 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 41% | 42% | 11% | -15.5 | -7.1 | -5.0 | +27.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 34% | 37% | 28% | -0.7 | +7.3 | -2.8 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 41% | 33% | 25% | +22.1 | -14.3 | -1.9 | -5.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 6% | 31% | 37% | 25% | +5.3 | +0.3 | 0.0 | -5.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 12% | 31% | 37% | 20% | -13.4 | -28.3 | -26.3 | +67.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -7.5 | +19.0 | -9.8 | -1.7 |