Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/18 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 18,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +69.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -13.3 | +12.6 | +0.9 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 34% | 25% | 25% | -0.5 | -3.8 | +6.0 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 15% | 29% | 29% | 27% | -22.9 | +27.1 | -3.6 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 55% | 20% | 20% | -2.1 | -1.3 | -2.8 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,900 from Go Kobayashi | 4% | 52% | 19% | 25% | +1.4 | -10.1 | +2.2 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 5% | 42% | 22% | 31% | -1.1 | +1.8 | +25.5 | -26.2 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 41% | 42% | 12% | -14.2 | -6.7 | -4.9 | +25.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 35% | 37% | 28% | +0.2 | +6.5 | -3.7 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 41% | 34% | 25% | +23.7 | -13.1 | -4.1 | -6.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 33% | 33% | 26% | +2.8 | -0.9 | +4.0 | -5.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 30% | 40% | 20% | -12.9 | -28.3 | -27.8 | +69.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -7.2 | +19.2 | -9.7 | -2.3 |