Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/18 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +0.4 | -0.2 | +12.4 | -12.7 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 25% | 34% | 17% | -2.3 | -5.5 | +1.2 | +6.6 |
| East 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 21% | 35% | 21% | -2.3 | -0.9 | +3.4 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 20% | 38% | 20% | -4.6 | +0.9 | +4.5 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 20% | 42% | 19% | -12.7 | -10.3 | +33.1 | -10.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido | 7% | 9% | 75% | 10% | +2.8 | -21.0 | +16.5 | +1.7 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 4% | 1% | 88% | 6% | +0.4 | -7.9 | +7.4 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 1% | 92% | 4% | -4.8 | -6.9 | -8.8 | +20.5 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 1% | 86% | 10% | +15.1 | -5.7 | +0.4 | -9.8 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 1% | 90% | 5% | -12.6 | -2.8 | -2.4 | +17.8 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 1% | 88% | 11% | -16.1 | +32.8 | -6.7 | -10.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 4% | 86% | 10% | -9.5 | +29.8 | -6.3 | -14.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 1% | 11% | 80% | 8% | -3.0 | -1.2 | +7.1 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 4% | 90% | 5% | -15.3 | +22.8 | -5.6 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 16% | 80% | 4% | -0.1 | -4.9 | +12.0 | -6.9 |