Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/18 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +34.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -2.6 | -3.0 | +16.4 | -10.7 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 23% | 36% | 18% | +0.1 | -3.1 | -1.8 | +4.8 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 21% | 35% | 21% | -1.8 | -1.7 | +3.7 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 19% | 37% | 21% | -5.7 | +2.9 | +3.9 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 21% | 41% | 19% | -11.9 | -13.6 | +34.6 | -9.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki | 7% | 8% | 75% | 10% | +0.7 | -19.3 | +16.3 | +2.2 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 4% | 2% | 88% | 6% | +2.0 | -8.5 | +6.0 | +0.5 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 1% | 92% | 4% | -6.8 | -6.9 | -8.0 | +21.7 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 1% | 86% | 11% | +16.0 | -4.2 | +0.4 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 1% | 90% | 5% | -12.3 | -3.5 | -1.8 | +17.5 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 89% | 10% | -15.1 | +33.2 | -7.8 | -10.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 3% | 86% | 9% | -11.2 | +29.9 | -7.4 | -11.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 1% | 13% | 78% | 9% | -2.5 | -1.2 | +7.7 | -4.0 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 5% | 90% | 5% | -15.3 | +22.9 | -4.6 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 17% | 80% | 3% | +0.1 | -5.2 | +11.6 | -6.5 |