Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/21 Game 1
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+57.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +48.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | -1.8 | -3.6 | +7.7 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 23% | 30% | 24% | +7.7 | -2.6 | -2.9 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 29% | 21% | 27% | 24% | +29.0 | -1.9 | -26.9 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 1,500 | 53% | 16% | 10% | 21% | -3.2 | -0.3 | -0.9 | +4.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 17% | 10% | 22% | -9.2 | +36.4 | -8.1 | -19.1 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 46% | 7% | 10% | -24.3 | -9.9 | -8.1 | +42.3 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 18% | 35% | 4% | 43% | -1.2 | -7.9 | -1.7 | +10.8 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 1,500 | 14% | 24% | 4% | 58% | -2.9 | -1.7 | -7.1 | +11.7 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 13% | 0% | 78% | -10.4 | +48.4 | -2.4 | -35.6 |