Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/21 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nikaido Aki ron 9,600 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 26% | 24% | 27% | 24% | -3.9 | -19.3 | +0.4 | +22.9 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 20% | 14% | 25% | 41% | +11.1 | -3.1 | -10.7 | +2.7 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 9,600 from Asakura Koshin | 29% | 11% | 17% | 44% | -27.7 | -2.7 | +33.2 | -2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 11% | 9% | 41% | 39% | -1.9 | +6.0 | -5.2 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 11% | 12% | 36% | 41% | +4.2 | +0.2 | +2.5 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 12% | 13% | 41% | 35% | -22.5 | -2.1 | +26.1 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 1% | 6% | 70% | 23% | +17.8 | -7.0 | -17.5 | +6.7 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 7,800 | 8% | 5% | 50% | 37% | -5.4 | -5.0 | +22.9 | -12.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 2% | 1% | 81% | 16% | -9.5 | +3.0 | +7.4 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11% | -0.9 | -4.8 | +9.7 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -6.0 | +6.3 | -1.2 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -8.9 | +33.9 | -0.3 | -24.7 |