Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/21 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Aki Nikaido ron 9,600 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +30.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Makoto Sawazaki | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -2.4 | -20.7 | +2.0 | +21.1 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 23% | 11% | 26% | 39% | +8.7 | -1.6 | -11.0 | +3.9 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 9,600 from Koshin Asakura | 29% | 10% | 18% | 43% | -28.6 | +0.4 | +30.9 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 11% | 10% | 40% | 39% | -0.2 | +2.9 | -3.4 | +0.7 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 11% | 12% | 37% | 40% | +3.1 | +0.1 | +3.0 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 13% | 12% | 42% | 34% | -23.7 | -0.9 | +24.4 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 1% | 6% | 68% | 25% | +20.6 | -7.8 | -16.9 | +4.1 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 7,800 | 8% | 5% | 50% | 36% | -6.3 | -4.6 | +23.0 | -12.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 2% | 2% | 81% | 15% | -10.1 | +2.5 | +6.2 | +1.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 0% | 86% | 13% | -1.1 | -4.5 | +11.2 | -5.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -5.9 | +5.9 | -0.9 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -8.8 | +34.0 | -0.7 | -24.5 |