Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/22 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +6.9 | -1.9 | -1.1 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 23% | 25% | 23% | -15.0 | -4.2 | -8.9 | +28.2 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 19% | 19% | 45% | -1.9 | -14.4 | +18.6 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 17% | 11% | 28% | 43% | -3.1 | -2.0 | +8.0 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 16% | 10% | 35% | 39% | +9.4 | -7.2 | -2.7 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,500 | 19% | 9% | 32% | 39% | +4.8 | -3.3 | +1.9 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Murakami Jun | 22% | 7% | 34% | 37% | +6.5 | -6.3 | +0.3 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 5% | 35% | 35% | +29.9 | -1.5 | -26.3 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 55% | 4% | 13% | 28% | +3.8 | -1.4 | -4.6 | +2.2 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 59% | 3% | 10% | 29% | -3.2 | -1.3 | -1.8 | +6.3 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 24,000 | 55% | 3% | 9% | 33% | -24.2 | +73.1 | -25.4 | -23.5 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 47% | 4% | 20% | -4.1 | -11.4 | -4.6 | +20.1 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 34% | 3% | 37% | -14.3 | -11.8 | -9.4 | +35.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 7% | 7% | 0% | 87% | -1.2 | -1.1 | -0.8 | +3.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 6% | 0% | 89% | -6.9 | +4.7 | -1.3 | +3.6 |