Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/22 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 24% | 24% | 24% | +6.0 | -1.6 | -2.0 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 23% | 23% | 23% | -16.5 | -3.3 | -9.0 | +28.8 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 21% | 17% | 44% | -2.7 | -15.3 | +22.5 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 12% | 32% | 40% | -3.0 | -2.0 | +7.3 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 16% | 10% | 37% | 38% | +11.1 | -8.2 | -4.7 | +1.7 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,500 | 21% | 8% | 32% | 40% | +2.4 | -1.4 | +2.5 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Jun Murakami | 22% | 7% | 36% | 36% | +9.9 | -6.4 | -2.8 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Masato Hagiwara | 29% | 5% | 32% | 34% | +27.3 | -0.1 | -26.0 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 55% | 5% | 12% | 29% | +5.2 | -2.6 | -2.2 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 61% | 4% | 9% | 27% | -3.2 | -2.7 | -2.1 | +8.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 24,000 | 56% | 3% | 8% | 34% | -24.7 | +73.1 | -24.4 | -24.0 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 47% | 4% | 19% | -6.9 | -10.5 | -4.6 | +21.9 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 34% | 3% | 39% | -11.9 | -11.1 | -10.1 | +33.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 8% | 0% | 85% | -2.0 | -1.0 | -1.2 | +4.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 8% | 0% | 89% | -6.2 | +3.9 | -1.0 | +3.3 |