Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/22 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+76.4pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 18,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +3.8 | -9.0 | +3.7 | +1.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 19% | 27% | 27% | -11.9 | +23.3 | -5.6 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 35% | 23% | 23% | -7.9 | +17.0 | -5.8 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 14% | 50% | 18% | 18% | -0.6 | -18.2 | +0.9 | +17.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 15% | 33% | 19% | 33% | -0.3 | +1.2 | 0.0 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 14% | 34% | 19% | 33% | -16.3 | -20.3 | +54.8 | -18.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,900 | 5% | 14% | 65% | 16% | -2.9 | -3.0 | +9.6 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 10% | 74% | 11% | -5.5 | -4.7 | -9.5 | +19.8 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 6,000 | 4% | 10% | 65% | 22% | -4.8 | -5.2 | -6.2 | +16.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 18,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 2% | 7% | 56% | 34% | +6.2 | -32.8 | -10.4 | +37.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 1% | 27% | 71% | -4.1 | -0.9 | -4.6 | +9.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 1% | 0% | 18% | 80% | +0.7 | -3.0 | -2.9 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 1% | 0% | 14% | 85% | -4.5 | -0.3 | +6.5 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 83% | +18.8 | -9.1 | -6.8 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 1% | 0% | 14% | 85% | -13.1 | +2.0 | +15.6 | -4.5 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 0% | 25% | 74% | +7.3 | -8.5 | -2.2 | +3.4 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 0% | 20% | 80% | +9.7 | -0.5 | -16.5 | +7.3 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -0.2 | -0.8 | -3.5 | +4.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -4.0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.0 | +0.2 | +1.2 | +1.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +10.7 | +0.3 | +0.6 | -11.6 |