Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/22 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+76.4pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 18,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +3.6 | -6.5 | +2.0 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 21% | 26% | 27% | -13.1 | +19.3 | -2.7 | -3.5 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 6,000 | 18% | 33% | 24% | 25% | -6.5 | +16.4 | -4.9 | -5.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 14% | 47% | 20% | 19% | -1.2 | -15.6 | -0.5 | +17.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 34% | 20% | 32% | +1.4 | -1.5 | -0.1 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 16% | 32% | 21% | 32% | -18.1 | -18.4 | +56.2 | -19.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,900 | 5% | 14% | 67% | 14% | -1.9 | -2.9 | +7.9 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 10% | 75% | 11% | -4.9 | -6.8 | -8.8 | +20.4 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 9% | 66% | 22% | -4.8 | -3.7 | -7.6 | +16.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 18,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 3% | 8% | 55% | 35% | +6.2 | -33.0 | -10.1 | +36.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 2% | 1% | 27% | 71% | -3.1 | -0.4 | -4.0 | +7.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 1% | 19% | 79% | -1.0 | -3.6 | -2.3 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | -4.5 | +1.5 | +5.1 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 83% | +18.8 | -10.2 | -4.2 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 1% | 0% | 16% | 82% | -12.8 | +1.2 | +13.7 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 0% | 0% | 25% | 75% | +8.1 | -7.6 | -2.9 | +2.4 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 0% | 20% | 80% | +8.7 | +0.1 | -16.1 | +7.3 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +0.1 | -1.5 | -3.4 | +4.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -4.2 | +0.2 | +0.1 | +3.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.8 | +0.3 | +1.0 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +10.7 | 0.0 | +0.7 | -11.4 |