Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/24 Game 1
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 24% | 26% | 26% | 25% | -24.2 | 0.0 | +23.2 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 10% | 24% | 43% | 24% | +1.1 | -5.3 | +3.8 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 10% | 19% | 47% | 24% | -17.8 | +31.2 | -5.4 | -8.0 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 5% | 42% | 38% | 16% | -20.0 | -5.3 | -4.6 | +29.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 33% | 30% | 35% | -5.9 | -15.8 | -11.6 | +33.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 14% | 16% | 70% | -14.2 | -1.4 | -4.0 | +19.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 7% | 7% | 86% | +9.8 | +0.5 | +3.7 | -14.1 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 11% | 12% | 77% | -3.0 | +5.7 | -4.6 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 12% | 8% | 80% | -0.6 | -8.7 | +7.6 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 4% | 10% | 86% | -0.6 | -2.3 | +4.4 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 4% | 12% | 84% | +9.8 | +8.2 | -23.9 | +5.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | +2.0 | +2.8 | -4.8 | 0.0 |