Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/24 Game 1
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +30.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -25.7 | -0.8 | +24.1 | +2.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 22% | 43% | 25% | +3.6 | -2.9 | +2.2 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 11% | 21% | 45% | 23% | -21.1 | +29.0 | -2.2 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 4% | 40% | 39% | 16% | -19.3 | -4.3 | -6.0 | +29.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 33% | 29% | 36% | -5.4 | -13.3 | -11.9 | +30.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 17% | 15% | 67% | -14.1 | -2.9 | -4.5 | +21.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 8% | 6% | 86% | +9.9 | +1.1 | +2.6 | -13.6 |
| South 1 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 11% | 11% | 78% | -3.5 | +6.2 | -3.7 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 13% | 8% | 80% | -0.3 | -11.2 | +10.5 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 4% | 11% | 85% | -0.8 | -2.2 | +2.8 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 3% | 12% | 85% | +9.7 | +9.2 | -24.6 | +5.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 0% | 98% | +2.1 | +2.4 | -4.0 | -0.5 |