Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

2/24 Game 2

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +37.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Hori Shingo● Hagiwara Masato● Uotani Yuumi● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hori● Hagiwara● Uotani● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%26%23%26%+6.9-4.2-2.6-0.1
East 1, 1 honbaSonoda Ken tsumo 8,00030%23%22%26%-15.4-7.1-4.9+27.4
East 2Draw18%16%18%48%+6.8-3.7-1.5-1.7
East 3, 1 honbaSonoda Ken ron 1,300 from Hori Shingo22%15%18%46%-1.5-0.3-7.7+9.6
East 4Hori Shingo tsumo 12,00019%13%12%57%-8.1-10.6+37.0-18.3
South 1Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,00015%10%38%38%-19.7+30.0-5.1-5.3
South 2Hori Shingo tsumo 8,0006%27%34%33%-5.7-19.3+31.4-6.4
South 3Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,0002%7%71%19%-7.1-6.4-18.1+31.6
South 4Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,0000%3%39%58%+24.1-20.8+24.1-27.4

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)