Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/24 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +5.2 | -3.6 | -2.6 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 22% | 23% | 26% | -14.4 | -6.0 | -4.9 | +25.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 17% | 19% | 46% | +7.6 | -5.2 | -1.0 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,300 from Shingo Hori | 21% | 14% | 19% | 46% | -1.8 | +1.0 | -9.0 | +9.7 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 14% | 12% | 55% | -7.7 | -8.6 | +35.7 | -19.4 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 11% | 37% | 36% | -19.0 | +26.5 | -4.7 | -2.9 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 27% | 32% | 35% | -6.9 | -18.0 | +34.0 | -9.1 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 6% | 75% | 18% | -7.4 | -6.8 | -20.3 | +34.4 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 2% | 38% | 60% | +24.4 | -20.5 | +24.7 | -28.6 |