Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

2/25 Game 2

Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+100.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +33.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance	Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance	Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance	Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance	Nikaido Aki Expected pt change	Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change	Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change	Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change
East 1	Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,000	26%	25%	26%	24%	+18.4	-8.0	-7.8	-2.7
East 1, 1 honba	Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000	39%	19%	21%	22%	-15.3	-4.3	+23.7	-4.1
East 2	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000	25%	18%	39%	19%	-7.5	-17.7	-7.9	+33.1
East 3	Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 1,100	20%	8%	30%	43%	-3.4	+4.7	-2.9	+1.6
East 4	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000	18%	9%	27%	46%	-6.4	-3.5	-5.8	+15.7
East 4, 1 honba	Draw	13%	7%	19%	61%	-1.3	-5.0	+7.9	-1.7
South 1, 2 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki	11%	6%	24%	60%	-9.8	0.0	-1.4	+11.2
South 2	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki	3%	4%	17%	76%	-17.8	+0.4	+0.6	+16.8
South 3	Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000	0%	0%	7%	93%	-5.2	-2.3	+12.6	-5.1
South 3, 1 honba	Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	0%	0%	15%	85%	+21.2	-8.4	-18.5	+5.7
South 4	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki	0%	0%	1%	99%	-19.6	+9.7	+1.4	+8.5
South 4, 1 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 24,000	0%	0%	0%	100%	-8.2	-7.6	-8.4	+24.3
South 4, 2 honba	Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro	0%	0%	0%	100%	+18.2	-19.2	+2.3	-1.2

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)