Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/25 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+100.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +36.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +20.2 | -8.4 | -5.0 | -6.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 20% | 21% | 20% | -12.3 | -6.1 | +22.5 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 17% | 37% | 19% | -9.5 | -18.7 | -8.1 | +36.3 |
| East 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 7% | 28% | 45% | -4.6 | +5.7 | -2.0 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,000 | 18% | 10% | 26% | 46% | -5.4 | -4.5 | -6.0 | +15.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 7% | 18% | 63% | -1.8 | -2.1 | +6.1 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 11% | 6% | 21% | 62% | -8.9 | -2.4 | +0.8 | +10.5 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 3% | 4% | 16% | 76% | -19.3 | +1.8 | +1.0 | +16.6 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | -4.5 | -3.5 | +11.9 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 13% | 87% | +20.8 | -7.0 | -18.3 | +4.5 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -19.5 | +9.1 | +2.2 | +8.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -8.3 | -7.8 | -8.1 | +24.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +18.3 | -19.1 | +1.8 | -1.0 |