Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/28 Game 1
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +31.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 7,800 | 27% | 26% | 22% | 26% | +17.9 | -7.7 | -4.4 | -5.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 38% | 21% | 19% | 22% | -0.9 | +1.0 | -4.5 | +4.4 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 39% | 21% | 17% | 23% | +2.1 | -25.3 | +21.2 | +2.0 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 8% | 29% | 24% | -1.0 | +22.1 | -14.4 | -6.7 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 41% | 19% | 19% | 22% | -1.7 | -22.0 | +29.9 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 8% | 43% | 14% | +31.8 | -7.7 | -15.7 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 3,000 | 71% | 3% | 20% | 7% | +8.5 | -4.2 | -2.4 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 80% | 2% | 14% | 5% | -8.2 | -6.2 | -6.7 | +21.1 |
| South 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 73% | 2% | 12% | 13% | +4.5 | -6.1 | -1.6 | +3.1 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,100 | 81% | 0% | 9% | 10% | +7.5 | -0.6 | -6.2 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 3,900 | 93% | 0% | 0% | 7% | -2.7 | -1.7 | -6.7 | +11.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 89% | 0% | 0% | 10% | +8.4 | -3.8 | -1.9 | -2.7 |