Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
2/28 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Date Arisa tsumo 8,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +23.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -23.4 | +26.0 | -1.8 | -0.8 |
| East 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 6,000 | 12% | 44% | 23% | 22% | -5.0 | +12.6 | -2.3 | -5.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,100 | 8% | 54% | 20% | 17% | +3.1 | +1.3 | -3.1 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 57% | 17% | 17% | -4.7 | -5.2 | -13.6 | +23.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 8% | 51% | 10% | 32% | -1.9 | -2.3 | -2.0 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 7,800 | 7% | 48% | 9% | 37% | -7.8 | -10.8 | -4.4 | +23.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 2,900 from Murakami Jun | 4% | 29% | 7% | 60% | +0.9 | -10.7 | -0.1 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 18% | 5% | 73% | -5.6 | -0.1 | +8.4 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 17% | 7% | 72% | +2.8 | -5.9 | +1.2 | +1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 15% | 7% | 75% | +31.6 | -12.4 | -11.8 | -7.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 12% | 12% | 6% | 70% | +5.8 | -2.2 | -1.8 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 15% | 11% | 7% | 67% | -3.6 | -2.0 | +3.9 | +1.7 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 11% | 7% | 71% | +15.8 | -9.1 | -7.2 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 19% | 4% | 4% | 73% | +21.2 | -2.5 | -12.1 | -6.5 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 42% | 0% | 0% | 58% | -18.7 | +2.7 | 0.0 | +16.0 |