Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/1 Game 1
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +48.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -17.2 | +31.0 | -3.3 | -10.4 |
| East 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,000 | 13% | 49% | 21% | 17% | +2.0 | -6.8 | +4.5 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 15% | 43% | 23% | 19% | -3.5 | -1.4 | -3.6 | +8.5 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,600 from Matsugase Takaya | 12% | 44% | 19% | 25% | +5.6 | +3.2 | -8.1 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 48% | 15% | 22% | -18.9 | -10.2 | -10.3 | +39.3 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 4% | 29% | 8% | 60% | +28.7 | -8.5 | -21.8 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 14% | 19% | 3% | 64% | -5.0 | +4.8 | +2.8 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 11% | 25% | 4% | 60% | -2.1 | +9.2 | -9.8 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,900 from Hinata Aiko | 7% | 28% | 0% | 65% | -7.3 | -3.5 | +0.7 | +10.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 2% | 18% | 0% | 80% | -13.7 | +48.4 | -1.6 | -33.1 |