Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/1 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+70.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +25.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -7.3 | -19.2 | +1.1 | +25.4 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 19% | 14% | 24% | 43% | -1.8 | -2.8 | +13.1 | -8.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 13% | 33% | 35% | -1.1 | -4.0 | +9.0 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 11% | 41% | 32% | -4.4 | -3.1 | -12.9 | +20.4 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,800 from Shingo Hori | 14% | 8% | 27% | 51% | -16.0 | +1.5 | -1.6 | +16.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 6% | 20% | 68% | -6.9 | -6.6 | -10.2 | +23.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 2% | 2% | 6% | 90% | -17.9 | +16.9 | +1.0 | 0.0 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | +27.6 | -1.2 | -26.5 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Aki Nikaido | 2% | 3% | 2% | 93% | +8.1 | -8.2 | -0.8 | +0.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 3% | 2% | 2% | 93% | +25.9 | -25.4 | +1.5 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 9% | 0% | 2% | 89% | -4.2 | -15.2 | +17.9 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 0% | 4% | 93% | -2.1 | -3.7 | +5.4 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 4% | 95% | +0.8 | +8.4 | -9.2 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -16.7 | -0.7 | +20.1 | -2.7 |