Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/1 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+70.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +23.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 24% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -2.3 | -21.9 | +1.3 | +22.9 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 19% | 14% | 24% | 43% | -0.5 | -3.8 | +13.2 | -8.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 21% | 10% | 34% | 36% | -0.8 | -2.5 | +8.4 | -5.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 8% | 42% | 29% | -6.4 | -3.4 | -13.5 | +23.3 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,800 from Hori Shingo | 14% | 8% | 27% | 52% | -17.1 | +2.8 | 0.0 | +14.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 6% | 21% | 67% | -5.0 | -8.0 | -10.7 | +23.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 2% | 2% | 6% | 90% | -17.9 | +18.0 | +0.4 | -0.6 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 4% | 6% | 90% | +26.8 | -2.5 | -26.0 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Nikaido Aki | 2% | 3% | 2% | 94% | +8.2 | -6.8 | -1.2 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 3% | 2% | 2% | 93% | +26.6 | -25.5 | +1.3 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 9% | 1% | 2% | 88% | -5.9 | -14.8 | +17.0 | +3.6 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 94% | -2.8 | -4.4 | +8.8 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 5% | 93% | +1.9 | +8.6 | -11.5 | +1.0 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -16.4 | -0.7 | +20.1 | -2.9 |