Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/3 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +40.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -17.6 | -5.4 | +30.0 | -7.1 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,300 from Sho Shiratori | 13% | 21% | 47% | 20% | -4.1 | -3.9 | +7.1 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 16% | 55% | 18% | -3.8 | +4.6 | +3.2 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 17% | 58% | 16% | +0.4 | +1.6 | +0.4 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 18% | 57% | 15% | +30.1 | -6.5 | -15.3 | -8.4 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 16% | 44% | 13% | -6.3 | +22.8 | -2.0 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 32% | 41% | 5% | -19.8 | +40.1 | -14.8 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 3% | 78% | 16% | 2% | -0.1 | -2.9 | +4.6 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,400 | 3% | 77% | 17% | 2% | +15.0 | +3.7 | -14.1 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 5% | 89% | 4% | 2% | -11.1 | +5.3 | +10.8 | -5.1 |