Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/3 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +40.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -17.9 | -4.9 | +31.8 | -9.0 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,300 from Shiratori Sho | 12% | 19% | 52% | 18% | -2.3 | -3.6 | +3.8 | +2.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 11% | 16% | 55% | 18% | -1.5 | +4.1 | +1.6 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 17% | 57% | 16% | -4.2 | +4.0 | +1.8 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 19% | 57% | 16% | +31.2 | -7.6 | -15.0 | -8.6 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 16% | 44% | 14% | -3.5 | +22.4 | -3.9 | -15.0 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 30% | 40% | 7% | -20.9 | +40.7 | -13.6 | -6.2 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 4% | 77% | 16% | 3% | -1.2 | -3.2 | +5.2 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,400 | 3% | 76% | 18% | 3% | +15.5 | +3.6 | -14.3 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 6% | 87% | 5% | 2% | -11.3 | +5.9 | +10.7 | -5.3 |