Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/3 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+84.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +38.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -13.6 | +23.6 | -4.2 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 42% | 21% | 22% | -2.1 | +3.3 | +3.0 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000 | 15% | 45% | 21% | 18% | -12.6 | +38.8 | -13.5 | -12.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 5% | 80% | 8% | 7% | +2.7 | +18.3 | -22.7 | +1.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 2% | 93% | 2% | 3% | -13.8 | -0.8 | +13.3 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 7,700 from Honda Tomohiro | 1% | 94% | 2% | 3% | -14.0 | -0.6 | +17.1 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 92% | 4% | 3% | +5.0 | +0.6 | -5.3 | -0.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -4.4 | -0.8 | +9.7 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 96% | 3% | 1% | -5.2 | +2.4 | +3.0 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 97% | 2% | 1% | -6.4 | -5.1 | -8.1 | +19.7 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 96% | 2% | 2% | -0.6 | +4.6 | -2.1 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -0.1 | +1.6 | +10.9 | -12.4 |