Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/3 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+84.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 18,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +37.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -14.5 | +22.0 | -4.7 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 42% | 20% | 23% | -0.6 | +4.2 | +2.8 | -6.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 18,000 | 15% | 46% | 21% | 18% | -13.8 | +37.3 | -12.0 | -11.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 4% | 79% | 9% | 8% | +3.9 | +18.2 | -22.5 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 2% | 92% | 2% | 3% | -14.8 | +0.4 | +13.6 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 7,700 from Tomohiro Honda | 1% | 94% | 2% | 3% | -14.6 | +0.3 | +14.3 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 93% | 4% | 3% | +3.8 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -1.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 94% | 2% | 3% | -2.9 | -1.1 | +9.4 | -5.4 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 94% | 4% | 1% | -5.3 | +2.9 | +1.2 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 97% | 2% | 1% | -5.8 | -4.5 | -6.7 | +17.0 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 97% | 1% | 2% | -0.8 | +3.8 | -3.1 | +0.1 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0.0 | +1.8 | +11.5 | -13.4 |