Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/4 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+61.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -13.5 | -5.6 | +22.8 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 16% | 21% | 42% | 21% | +1.6 | -6.0 | +0.1 | +4.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 15% | 43% | 25% | -4.3 | +1.8 | +6.2 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,500 from Arisa Date | 14% | 18% | 47% | 21% | -7.6 | -2.5 | +10.5 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 13% | 57% | 21% | -8.7 | -5.5 | -20.3 | +34.4 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Arisa Date | 7% | 11% | 34% | 49% | -6.5 | +0.4 | -2.8 | +8.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 10% | 28% | 57% | +4.7 | -5.0 | +2.4 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 5% | 8% | 31% | 56% | -5.0 | +16.3 | -16.7 | +5.5 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 14% | 17% | 66% | -3.0 | -8.5 | +7.3 | +4.1 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 6% | 19% | 75% | -4.1 | -2.4 | -8.7 | +15.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 97% | -4.6 | +1.5 | +4.4 | -1.3 |