Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/4 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+61.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -13.6 | -4.3 | +22.6 | -4.7 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 16% | 22% | 41% | 21% | +1.0 | -8.0 | +0.6 | +6.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 17% | 15% | 43% | 24% | -3.7 | +1.4 | +5.4 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,500 from Date Arisa | 14% | 17% | 47% | 23% | -7.0 | -0.6 | +11.6 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 13% | 59% | 18% | -8.7 | -6.2 | -19.6 | +34.4 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Date Arisa | 7% | 11% | 36% | 46% | -7.5 | -1.8 | -0.3 | +9.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 9% | 32% | 54% | +5.3 | -3.2 | -0.1 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 6% | 8% | 32% | 54% | -6.3 | +14.1 | -14.8 | +7.0 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 12% | 19% | 67% | -2.1 | -5.3 | +4.2 | +3.1 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 6% | 18% | 74% | -3.0 | -4.6 | -8.2 | +15.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 2% | 97% | -5.4 | +2.7 | +3.7 | -1.0 |