Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/4 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+67.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 3 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -12.1 | +20.0 | -4.5 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Win | 18% | 40% | 20% | 22% | -8.5 | +0.1 | +1.3 | +7.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 13% | 40% | 21% | 26% | -1.3 | +0.4 | -5.0 | +5.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 12% | 39% | 18% | 30% | -1.6 | +8.5 | -4.8 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 49% | 13% | 26% | +16.6 | -6.0 | -4.7 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 2,700 | 19% | 44% | 13% | 24% | -6.7 | +12.1 | -2.7 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 11% | 58% | 11% | 19% | -17.0 | +1.4 | -3.2 | +18.8 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 3% | 61% | 8% | 29% | -1.6 | -47.1 | +43.0 | +5.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 15% | 37% | 43% | -2.5 | +3.4 | +6.3 | -7.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 6% | 16% | 44% | 34% | +3.7 | -4.2 | +5.2 | -4.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 13% | 50% | 30% | -11.8 | -13.5 | +43.4 | -18.0 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -1.4 | -0.5 | +3.8 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +25.1 | -11.9 | -11.7 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -5.2 | +41.0 | +2.3 | -38.1 |