Game · 2021-22 Regular Season

3/7 Game 2

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+70.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +46.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Hori Shingo 1st-place chance	Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance	Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance	Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance	Hori Shingo Expected pt change	Asakura Koshin Expected pt change	Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change	Shiratori Sho Expected pt change
East 1	Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji	27%	26%	23%	24%	-3.4	-2.8	-7.9	+14.1
East 2	Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000	23%	23%	20%	34%	+14.8	-6.1	-5.8	-3.0
East 3	Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo	34%	20%	16%	31%	-35.0	-3.2	+36.8	+1.4
East 3, 1 honba	Katsumata Kenji ron 7,700 from Asakura Koshin	12%	16%	40%	32%	-0.5	-18.5	+24.2	-5.2
East 3, 2 honba	Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo	8%	6%	64%	22%	-23.8	+0.9	-6.4	+29.2
East 4	Draw	2%	4%	51%	43%	-3.4	+5.1	-0.5	-1.2
South 1, 1 honba	Asakura Koshin ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho	2%	5%	50%	43%	-6.0	+8.1	+5.1	-7.2
South 2	Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho	0%	6%	60%	34%	-0.3	-3.5	+10.0	-6.2
South 3	Draw	0%	1%	77%	22%	-1.0	-2.0	+7.0	-4.0
South 3, 1 honba	Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin	0%	1%	85%	14%	+0.2	-5.7	-0.9	+6.4
South 4	Draw	0%	0%	85%	15%	+0.4	+1.5	-5.6	+3.7
South 4, 1 honba	Draw	0%	0%	79%	21%	+1.6	+0.6	-6.4	+4.2
South 4, 2 honba	Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000	0%	0%	71%	29%	-6.1	-6.4	-34.3	+46.8
South 4, 3 honba	Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000	0%	0%	0%	100%	-5.1	+15.0	-2.7	-7.2

All 2021-22 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)