Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/7 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+70.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +46.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 27% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -1.7 | +0.8 | -12.5 | +13.4 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 26% | 16% | 34% | +14.4 | -11.5 | +1.3 | -4.2 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 35% | 18% | 17% | 30% | -36.6 | -0.3 | +36.2 | +0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 7,700 from Koshin Asakura | 12% | 16% | 42% | 30% | -0.1 | -17.8 | +21.0 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 8% | 7% | 62% | 24% | -23.8 | +0.3 | -4.9 | +28.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 4% | 50% | 44% | -3.5 | +6.0 | -1.1 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 2% | 6% | 49% | 43% | -5.1 | +6.7 | +4.7 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 7% | 58% | 35% | +0.2 | -4.1 | +12.2 | -8.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 79% | 20% | -1.2 | -1.6 | +5.5 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 0% | 1% | 84% | 15% | 0.0 | -5.9 | -1.3 | +7.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 84% | 16% | +1.1 | +1.1 | -4.8 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 80% | 21% | +0.6 | +1.4 | -6.9 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 70% | 30% | -6.0 | -6.7 | -33.8 | +46.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 100% | -4.8 | +14.9 | -2.9 | -7.2 |