Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/8 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Jun Murakami | 26% | 27% | 25% | 23% | -16.4 | -2.0 | +1.3 | +17.1 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 25% | 24% | 36% | -1.4 | -8.9 | +13.3 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 18% | 35% | 34% | -9.0 | -10.5 | +32.0 | -12.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 8% | 9% | 65% | 19% | -1.7 | +35.8 | -4.8 | -29.4 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma | 6% | 28% | 59% | 7% | +1.8 | +1.5 | +2.7 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 5% | 27% | 63% | 5% | -2.0 | -3.0 | +6.2 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 3% | 21% | 73% | 3% | +8.1 | -0.5 | -4.9 | -2.7 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 5% | 21% | 71% | 4% | +52.7 | +2.4 | -51.5 | -3.6 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 27% | 12% | 4% | -22.0 | +42.6 | -9.9 | -10.7 |