Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/8 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +41.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Murakami Jun | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -15.7 | -0.7 | +1.5 | +15.0 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 24% | 24% | 38% | -3.9 | -7.3 | +16.5 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 19% | 37% | 32% | -8.2 | -11.1 | +28.8 | -9.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 7% | 10% | 64% | 19% | +1.3 | +33.1 | -3.2 | -31.2 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 7% | 26% | 60% | 7% | +0.3 | +1.7 | +1.9 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 6% | 26% | 62% | 5% | -3.1 | -3.3 | +8.3 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 2% | 18% | 76% | 3% | +8.4 | +1.9 | -6.2 | -4.0 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 4% | 21% | 71% | 3% | +53.4 | +3.0 | -52.2 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 29% | 11% | 3% | -22.5 | +41.9 | -9.6 | -9.8 |