Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/8 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+51.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +74.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | -19.1 | -5.3 | +30.5 | -6.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 12% | 19% | 50% | 19% | +0.6 | -23.7 | +1.5 | +21.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 8% | 50% | 32% | -1.3 | -1.9 | +5.4 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 11% | 7% | 54% | 28% | -1.3 | +24.0 | -21.8 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 19% | 36% | 32% | -2.2 | -4.9 | -1.1 | +8.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 12% | 14% | 35% | 38% | +20.1 | -18.1 | -1.5 | -0.5 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 3,000 | 22% | 7% | 32% | 39% | +9.4 | -2.1 | -3.7 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 7% | 29% | 35% | -5.4 | -3.7 | +10.2 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 6% | 38% | 33% | -3.4 | +3.7 | -3.8 | +3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 20% | 8% | 35% | 36% | -1.8 | +27.9 | -28.2 | +2.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 21% | 18% | 41% | +7.0 | -8.0 | +3.3 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 27% | 15% | 19% | 38% | +0.5 | +29.5 | -14.8 | -15.3 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 27% | 39% | 11% | 23% | -19.0 | -9.5 | +74.5 | -46.0 |