Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/10 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +28.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -2.9 | -1.3 | -3.6 | +7.8 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 24% | 22% | 30% | -7.3 | -9.4 | +23.2 | -6.5 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 17% | 17% | 41% | 25% | +25.6 | -24.5 | -0.5 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 34% | 6% | 38% | 23% | +3.0 | -2.2 | +5.9 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 4% | 43% | 16% | -16.4 | -6.9 | -5.3 | +28.6 |
| South 2 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 4% | 37% | 38% | -16.2 | +48.8 | -17.7 | -14.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 28% | 27% | 30% | +8.3 | -1.5 | -3.9 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Yuumi Uotani | 21% | 26% | 24% | 29% | -15.2 | +0.8 | -5.5 | +19.9 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 22% | 17% | 47% | -5.3 | -9.7 | -12.3 | +27.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 4% | 6% | 3% | 88% | -14.8 | -9.8 | +23.2 | +1.4 |