Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/10 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+50.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +18.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -5.9 | +4.2 | +3.1 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 21% | 27% | 26% | 26% | +14.1 | -4.3 | -6.6 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 31% | 22% | 23% | 23% | -7.4 | +1.1 | +4.8 | +1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -0.8 | +8.9 | -6.7 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 31% | 21% | 23% | -16.5 | -1.0 | -1.3 | +18.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 29% | 19% | 37% | +7.6 | -3.7 | -3.1 | -0.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 27% | 18% | 36% | +23.2 | -6.3 | -5.8 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 37% | 22% | 14% | 27% | +32.8 | -0.8 | -28.4 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 69% | 14% | 3% | 14% | -15.3 | +0.6 | -1.6 | +16.3 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 51% | 16% | 2% | 30% | -9.3 | -6.1 | -1.7 | +17.2 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,700 | 37% | 9% | 2% | 51% | -4.1 | +7.5 | -7.1 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 12% | 0% | 59% | -10.2 | -11.8 | +9.1 | +12.9 |