Game · 2021-22 Regular Season
3/10 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+50.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +20.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -4.4 | +4.3 | +0.7 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 22% | 27% | 26% | 26% | +15.8 | -3.9 | -7.6 | -4.2 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,900 from Ken Sonoda | 33% | 24% | 21% | 22% | -10.2 | -1.3 | +9.8 | +1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 25% | 22% | 28% | 25% | +2.4 | +9.9 | -10.5 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 27% | 30% | 20% | 23% | -18.9 | -1.4 | +0.6 | +19.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 28% | 20% | 37% | +6.3 | -1.5 | -4.3 | -0.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 19% | 28% | 17% | 36% | +22.5 | -6.1 | -5.2 | -11.3 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 35% | 24% | 14% | 28% | +35.1 | -2.7 | -29.1 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 68% | 13% | 3% | 16% | -13.5 | -0.5 | -1.2 | +15.2 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 54% | 15% | 3% | 28% | -12.8 | -4.7 | -2.6 | +20.0 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,700 | 35% | 9% | 2% | 54% | -3.2 | +7.6 | -6.7 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 12% | 0% | 60% | -9.7 | -12.0 | +9.3 | +12.5 |